Quissamã vs São João da Barra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
QUI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
GOY
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 2
QUI
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
QUI
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 1
TIG
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
São João da Barra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 2
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AME
4 - 3
SAO
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |