Quissamã vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
QUI
27%
24%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
QUI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
GOY
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 2
QUI
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
CER
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
AFC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |