Quissamã vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 1
QUI
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 3
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
QUI
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 2
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
TIG
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 4
AUD
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |