Quirigua vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
COB
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
QUI
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
DEP
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAY
2 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MIX
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 3
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COB
4 - 2
MIX
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |