Quilmes vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 0
QUI
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEL
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 3
QUI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
5 - 1
CCP
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 2
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 2
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARG
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |