QRM vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUE
2 - 4
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LEH
2 - 2
QUE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
QUE
0 - 0
ORL
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 0
AUX
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
QUE
2 - 4
ROM
53%
23%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
USB
2 - 0
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 3
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
USB
0 - 0
LYO
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
USB
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
USB
1 - 3
LMU
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |