QRM II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
7º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
GON
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
QUE
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 0
ALE
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRQ
0 - 4
QUE
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
QUE
5 - 4
SAI
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRQ
2 - 1
AVR
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 6
AFV
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 2
AVR
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
DIV
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OIS
1 - 0
AVR
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |