QRM II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 1
DRO
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AVO
1 - 0
QUE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
BLO
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
QUE
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 0
OIS
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
AVR
4 - 3
OIS
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
STP
3 - 1
AVR
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 4
EVR
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 2
LMU
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AUB
1 - 1
AVR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |