Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
QRO
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
QRO
2 - 1
ATS
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
QRO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
QRO
1 - 1
MOR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
AME
6 - 0
QRO
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
EST
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |