Liga MX Finals Ap. . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Querétaro vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
1 - 0
NEC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VER
2 - 2
QRO
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
2 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
QRO
2 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LOB
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |