Queimados vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queimados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 3
QUE
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
AME
24%
24%
51%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 4
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 3
QUE
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUD
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DUQ
3 - 2
BAR
10%
16%
74%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
VOL
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |