Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
QOS
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
QOS
2 - 0
AIR
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 2
QOS
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 4
QOS
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
DAL
0 - 4
QOS
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
STE
1 - 4
PAR
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 1
STE
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
QUE
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
STE
1 - 0
CWB
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STE
1 - 3
ALB
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |