Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SHA
0 - 2
QAR
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
QAR
0 - 0
SFK
78%
17%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
QAR
1 - 0
SUM
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ZIR
0 - 6
QAR
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FKQ
5 - 0
SUM
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SUM
2 - 2
SHA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
QAR
1 - 0
SUM
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SUM
1 - 2
SFK
71%
19%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUM
2 - 1
ZIR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |