Qarabağ vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
25
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 3
QAR
16%
24%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
POG
4 - 2
QAR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ČUK
0 - 1
QAR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 0
QAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
SEB
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SHA
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZIR
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 1
SHA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |