Qarabağ vs AZAL PFC Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
QAR
1 - 2
FKQ
45%
30%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KHA
2 - 0
QAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKB
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
QAR
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
SIM
0 - 0
QAR
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 1
FKB
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
AZA
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 0
AZA
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 2
KHA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FKQ
0 - 0
AZA
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |