UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 1-5
Pyunik vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
MFK
5 - 0
PYU
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
PYU
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PYU
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PYU
3 - 2
MIK
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
PYU
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MFK
1 - 2
BOG
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
MFK
5 - 0
PYU
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
MFK
0 - 1
HAU
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
S08
1 - 4
MFK
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
RBK
1 - 1
MFK
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |