Purmersteijn vs VKW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
8º
3º
14
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PUR
3 - 2
HOL
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HOO
4 - 3
PUR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PUR
3 - 3
VOC
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
0 - 1
PUR
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PUR
1 - 1
BEQ
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
VKW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VKW
0 - 1
RKV
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 0
VKW
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VKW
1 - 3
SJC
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HOO
8 - 2
VKW
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VKW
0 - 2
ALC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |