Purbach vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
KLI
1 - 2
PUR
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
PUR
5 - 0
DEU
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 3
PUR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 1
NEU
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SVS
1 - 5
PUR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
STM
2 - 2
HOR
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KLI
0 - 2
STM
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STM
3 - 2
DEU
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 2
STM
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STM
3 - 0
NEU
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |