Purbach vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JEN
1 - 4
PUR
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 1
DRA
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 3
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUS
6 - 3
PUR
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 0
SIG
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUS
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 3
FCW
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STI
3 - 0
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SCB
2 - 2
MAR
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
HOR
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |