Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
12º
10º
34
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 43 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
79% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 30 |
7º
|
89.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 21 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
61% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puntarenas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
PFC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
PFC
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 0
CSH
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PFC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
PFC
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 4
LDA
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
MUN
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CSH
4 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
SPO
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |