Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JUA
3 - 1
PUM
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
PUM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
QRO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 5
PAC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
38%
24%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOL
58%
21%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |