Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JUA
3 - 1
PUM
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
PUM
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
QRO
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 5
PAC
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
42%
24%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |