Puerto San José vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
PUE
55%
24%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPD
3 - 0
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 4
COA
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 0
PUE
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
LAG
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
XIN
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
MIX
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 1
NUE
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |