Puerto Nuevo vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
PUE
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
ITU
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 0
PUE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
CES
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 0
PUE
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
CAA
24%
27%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ARQ
0 - 1
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
MUÑ
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAÑ
0 - 3
VIC
42%
29%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
CBA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |