Ascenso Apertura . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Puerto Golfito vs Barrio México analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Golfito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PGF
1 - 0
JAC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
PGF
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 1
PGF
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PGF
2 - 2
TUR
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PGF
1 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barrio México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ASE
2 - 1
BAR
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
CSU
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
PGF
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASE
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 1
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |