Liga MX Sub 18 - Clausura round 3

Puebla U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis

Puebla U19 Toluca U19
37 ELO 48
-9.5% Tilt -3.8%
7859º General ELO ranking 4895º
116º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
24.5%
Puebla U19
24.6%
Draw
50.9%
Toluca U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
Puebla U19
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.9%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Puebla U19
-26%
+6%
Toluca U19

ELO progression

Puebla U19
Toluca U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Puebla U19
Puebla U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2024
PUE
Puebla U19
2 - 1
Necaxa U19
NEX
22%
23%
55%
34 47 13 0
13 Jan. 2024
MON
Monterrey U19
2 - 1
Puebla U19
PUE
72%
17%
11%
35 50 15 -1
12 Nov. 2023
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
1 - 2
Puebla U19
PUE
60%
22%
18%
34 44 10 +1
03 Nov. 2023
PUE
Puebla U19
1 - 3
León U19
LEO
36%
22%
43%
35 37 2 -1
31 Oct. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
4 - 0
Puebla U19
PUE
62%
22%
16%
36 49 13 -1

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
TOL
Toluca U19
1 - 1
Mazatlán U19
MAZ
58%
23%
19%
48 38 10 0
12 Jan. 2024
GBL
Querétaro U19
2 - 2
Toluca U19
TOL
22%
25%
54%
49 37 12 -1
26 Nov. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM U19
0 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
45%
25%
30%
48 50 2 +1
23 Nov. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
1 - 4
Pumas UNAM U19
PUM
43%
26%
31%
50 49 1 -2
18 Nov. 2023
NEX
Necaxa U19
2 - 4
Toluca U19
TOL
51%
23%
27%
49 49 0 +1