Puebla Sub 17 vs Toluca Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PUM
2 - 0
PUE
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 4
GUA
17%
21%
63%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 1
PUE
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 4
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 0
PUE
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 0
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
58%
22%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |