Puebla vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VER
0 - 1
PUE
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 2
JUA
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 2
PUE
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LOB
2 - 3
NEC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 2
AME
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
NEC
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |