Puebla vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
POL
1 - 1
PUE
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
PUE
3 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 0
PUE
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1988 |
PUE
2 - 1
AME
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1953 |
TAM
3 - 0
PUE
44%
21%
36%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
RMA
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 1
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
LDA
1 - 2
NEC
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |