PSV vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
PSV
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 2
DWS
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FOR
3 - 1
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 1
ADO
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
67%
17%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
ZUR
2 - 2
GAL
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
GAL
2 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1963 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GAL
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ZUR
1 - 2
DUN
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
DUN
0 - 3
ZUR
44%
21%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |