PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 0
PSV
42%
24%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
PSV
3 - 5
ADO
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
PSV
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
PSV
1 - 3
DWS
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 0
MVV
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 3
ELI
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
4 - 0
TWE
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |