PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
PSV
45%
24%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
PSV
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
GIR
0 - 1
PSV
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DET
2 - 6
SPA
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |