Eredivisie Round 23

PSV vs Roda JC analysis

PSV Roda JC
88 ELO 79
4.9% Tilt 11.2%
103º General ELO ranking 955º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
71.6%
PSV
17.3%
Draw
11.2%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
PSV
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+12%
-11%
Roda JC

ELO progression

PSV
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2004
PRG
Perugia
0 - 0
PSV
PSV
32%
25%
43%
88 83 5 0
21 Feb. 2004
SCH
Heerenveen
3 - 2
PSV
PSV
25%
24%
51%
88 80 8 0
14 Feb. 2004
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
71%
17%
12%
88 78 10 0
08 Feb. 2004
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
50%
23%
27%
88 88 0 0
04 Feb. 2004
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
74%
16%
9%
89 77 12 -1

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2004
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
34%
25%
41%
79 71 8 0
20 Feb. 2004
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
68%
20%
13%
79 63 16 0
14 Feb. 2004
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
44%
25%
31%
79 78 1 0
11 Feb. 2004
RBC
RBC Roosendaal
1 - 4
Roda JC
RJC
32%
26%
42%
78 70 8 +1
31 Jan. 2004
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
49%
25%
26%
78 75 3 0