PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 2
PSV
32%
24%
45%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 3
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 6
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
ZWO
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |