PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 3
GIR
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
LIV
2 - 0
PSV
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |