PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
VVV
0 - 3
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
6 - 1
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |