PSV vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
10%
18%
73%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
ZWO
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
FEY
2 - 0
PSV
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
RJC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
ZWO
3 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
TWE
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |