Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-0
PSV vs Haugesund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
HAU
0 - 1
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
44%
22%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
HAU
0 - 1
RAN
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
HAU
0 - 1
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
STB
1 - 1
HAU
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
HAU
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
HAU
2 - 0
STR
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |