PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 3
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
4 - 0
ZWO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VVV
0 - 1
PSV
8%
15%
78%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
12%
19%
70%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 3
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |