PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 0
PSV
42%
24%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
PSV
6 - 1
TEL
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
HKS
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TEL
2 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
ADO
6 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |