PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 2
BOS
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GRO
2 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 2
TWE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 4
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
BOS
4 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2001 |
FOR
4 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |