PSV vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 3
PSV
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PSV
0 - 3
FEY
40%
23%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 2
PSV
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
38%
21%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
VOL
3 - 1
PSV
23%
21%
56%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 2
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
FOR
1 - 3
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 4
FOR
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |