PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
WIL
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEN
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
TWE
4 - 1
RBC
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 1
TWE
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TWE
1 - 3
AZA
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |