PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
15%
26%
59%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
NEC
1 - 2
PSV
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1974 |
PSV
2 - 1
AMS
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
TEL
1 - 1
PSV
29%
27%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 2
TWE
21%
30%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
TWE
28%
29%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 1
TWE
19%
29%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |