PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 1
SCF
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 1
PSV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 0
FCR
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |