PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
PSV
3 - 1
MUD
39%
24%
38%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
AND
1 - 0
PSV
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 1
DYN
68%
18%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 1
GAE
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
FCE
3 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
VOL
0 - 5
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2000 |
ADO
2 - 3
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |