PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
ADO
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
PSV
5 - 0
HFC
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
RJC
0 - 4
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
PSV
6 - 1
GRO
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 1
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 1
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
GRO
6 - 0
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |