Europa League . 1/32
Global 4-5
PSV vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
PSV
4 - 0
FCD
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
LEV
5 - 4
PSV
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
PSV
4 - 1
GAE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
VIT
2 - 4
PSV
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
SCF
1 - 1
LEV
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
LEV
2 - 2
BVB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
LEV
5 - 4
PSV
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
MUN
1 - 1
LEV
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
RTV
1 - 3
LEV
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |