PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 3
PSV
26%
24%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
3 - 0
PSV
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
RBC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 0
S04
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 1
KRS
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
4 - 2
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
KRS
5 - 3
AZA
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |