PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
29%
25%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 1
RJC
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
LEE
0 - 1
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |