PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 5
PSV
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
TWE
3 - 2
PSV
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
GRO
1 - 0
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 3
FCB
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
RJC
2 - 0
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |